智能化网络性能分析与预测支撑系统设计

智能化网络性能分析与预测支撑系统设计 Design of Intelligent Network Analysis and Forecast Support System 王治 WANG Zhi 1 first-author 曹阳 CAO Yang 1 徐宁 XU Ning 1 罗琨 LUO Kun 1 武汉大学电子信息学院,湖北,武汉,430072 武汉大学电子信息学院,湖北,武汉,430072 School of Electronics Information, Wuhan University School of Electronics Information, Wuhan University 提出了一种将离线性能分析与在线性能实时预测相结合的网络性能分析与预测支撑系统设计方案 在离线性能分析中完成了特定网络节点的性能分析、节点间性能相关性分析以及长期网络性能历史数据的演化数学建模 ;在在线性能分析中则主要基于一种混合的实时预测模型来完成在线的网络性能预报 ,它采用模块化设计 ,具有良好的智能与很好的可扩展型和自适应性 实验表明 ,它为网络管理人员提供了强有效的网络性能分析与预测工具 ,是一个理想的性能分析与预测支撑平台 A system design is presented for the network performance analysis and forecast support system based on the combination of offline network performance analysis and online realtime network performance forecast. The offline analysis will perform performance analysis for specific network node, performance correlation analysis of relative network nodes and evolutionary mathematical modeling of longterm network performance history data. The online realtime network performance forecast will be based on one socalled hybrid prediction modeling approach for shortterm network performance prediction and trend analysis. Based on the module design, the system proposed has good intelligence, scalability and selfadaptability, which will offer highly effective network performance analysis and forecast tools for network managers, and is one ideal support platform for network performance analysis and forecast effort.\; 网络性能分析 实时预测 演化建模 混合预测建模 network performance analysis realtime forecast evolutionary modeling hybrid prediction modeling TN915 国家863计划资助项目!（863 30 0 0 2 0 9 99）;湖北省重点攻关项目!资助 （991P1 1 0 ） 2001-01-01 2021-04-01 1